13/06/2024
·
01:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Christos vs Patuxent Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
14%
Draw
20%
38%
Away Win
24%
34%
Under 2.5
35%
66%
Over 2.5
65%
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
41%
BTTS No
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Christos v Patuxent — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Christos
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Patuxent
EU Bookmakers 28%
-66% /
-66%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-34% /
-34%
1.17/3.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/2.00
-42%
/
-59%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-25%
/
-10%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
20
Total Shots
11
10
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
376 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
334 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.6
Yellow Cards
1.0
Christos vs Patuxent Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Christos
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Patuxent
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
66%
Ball Possession
34%
18
Total Shots
8
8
Shots on Target
5
10
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Christos vs Patuxent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Christos got the better of Patuxent 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Christos as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
What was the final score of Christos vs Patuxent?
Christos 3-1 Patuxent in the USA - USL League 2 on 13/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Christos vs Patuxent?
Before kick-off our model rated a Christos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Christos 48%, draw 14%, Patuxent 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Christos), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Christos)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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USL2
More USA - USL League 2
13 Jun 2024