El Vigia 1-2 Hermanos Colmenarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 13 Jun 2024

📅13/06/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
56%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
25%
-8.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
56%
Away Win
49%
+6.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.3pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Vigia EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH El Vigia vs Hermanos Colmenarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermanos Colmenarez nicked a narrow win over El Vigia 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hermanos Colmenarez as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of El Vigia vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

El Vigia 1-2 Hermanos Colmenarez in the VENK on 13/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Vigia vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hermanos Colmenarez win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split El Vigia 17%, draw 28%, Hermanos Colmenarez 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hermanos Colmenarez) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hermanos Colmenarez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VENK More VENK
13 Jun 2024
22:30 Portuguesa FC vs Zamora Analysis →
22:30 Academia Anzoátegui vs UCV Analysis →
23:00 Angostura FC vs Bolivar SC Analysis →
23:00 Aragua vs Maritimo Ven Analysis →