13/06/2025
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Karbala vs Al Karma Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
27%
Draw
27%
51%
Away Win
55%
55%
Under 2.5
62%
45%
Over 2.5
38%
50%
BTTS Yes
39%
50%
BTTS No
61%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karbala v Al Karma — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Karbala
EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Karma
EU Bookmakers 58%
-11% /
-11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+22% /
+22%
1.69/2.33
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.00/0.00
+77%
/
-45%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+35%
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
177 · 63%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
338 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Karbala vs Al Karma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Karma got the better of Karbala 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Karma as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Karbala vs Al Karma?
Karbala 0-2 Al Karma in the Iraq - Premier League on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karbala vs Al Karma?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Karma win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Karbala 23%, draw 27%, Al Karma 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Karma), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Al Karma)
✓ Under 2.5
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IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
13 Jun 2025