Northcote City 0-1 Melbourne Srbija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 13 Jun 2025

📅13/06/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.6pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northcote City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Srbija EU Bookmakers 39%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.06/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northcote City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Melbourne Srbija
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.03.2025 Melbourne Srbija Melbourne Srbija 2-2 Northcote City Northcote City NPL2
POST-MATCH Northcote City vs Melbourne Srbija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Srbija nicked a narrow win over Northcote City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Northcote City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Northcote City vs Melbourne Srbija?

Northcote City 0-1 Melbourne Srbija in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northcote City vs Melbourne Srbija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northcote City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Northcote City 43%, draw 23%, Melbourne Srbija 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Northcote City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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