USM Oujda 1-0 US Boujaad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 13 Jun 2026

📅13/06/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
20%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.4pp
36%
Draw
32%
+4.5pp
20%
Away Win
26%
-6.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.3pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Oujda EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY US Boujaad EU Bookmakers 30%
+12% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.29/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.11
+14% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
333 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Oujda
0W-1D-0L
AWAY US Boujaad
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.01.2026 US Boujaad 2-2 HT 2-2 USM Oujda FAS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Oujda
1-0
AWAY US Boujaad
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH USM Oujda vs US Boujaad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Oujda edged past US Boujaad 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had USM Oujda as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, USM Oujda had 49% of the ball to US Boujaad's 51%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of USM Oujda vs US Boujaad?

USM Oujda 1-0 US Boujaad in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 13/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Oujda vs US Boujaad?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Oujda win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split USM Oujda 44%, draw 36%, US Boujaad 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Oujda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Oujda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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