IL Varegg 0-1 Gneist — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 13 Jun 2026

📅13/06/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.25
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.14
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.32
No
34%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.34
2-3 Goals
36%
2.21
4-5 Goals
32%
2.29
6+ Goals
14%
4.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
40%
+8.4pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.4pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.9pp
66%
BTTS Yes
72%
-5.3pp
34%
BTTS No
28%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IL Varegg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gneist EU Bookmakers 40%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/2.31
-100% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
387 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IL Varegg
0-1
AWAY Gneist
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IL Varegg vs Gneist
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gneist edged past IL Varegg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was IL Varegg at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IL Varegg had 54% of the ball to Gneist's 46%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of IL Varegg vs Gneist?

IL Varegg 0-1 Gneist in the Norway - 3rd Division on 13/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IL Varegg vs Gneist?

Before kick-off our model rated a IL Varegg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split IL Varegg 49%, draw 20%, Gneist 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IL Varegg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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