Forfar Athletic 0-2 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
49%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.05
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
9.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 25% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
14%
+13.3pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.1pp
48%
Away Win
67%
-18.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 71%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
0.70/2.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.29/0.70
-32% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forfar Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Livingston
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
19.03.2011 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 0-4 HT 0-2 Livingston Livingston İK1
01.03.2011 Livingston Livingston 3-0 HT 1-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK1
30.10.2010 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İK1
28.08.2010 Livingston Livingston 2-0 HT 1-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK1
10.04.2010 Livingston Livingston 2-3 HT 2-3 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
06.02.2010 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-2 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İK2
POST-MATCH Forfar Athletic vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston got the better of Forfar Athletic 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Livingston as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Forfar Athletic and 2.17 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Forfar Athletic vs Livingston?

Forfar Athletic 0-2 Livingston in the Scotland - League Cup on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forfar Athletic vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated an Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Forfar Athletic 27%, draw 24%, Livingston 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livingston) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Livingston) ✗ Over 2.5
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