Baranovichi 0-1 Smorgon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
58%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
26%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+7.9pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.8pp
58%
Away Win
68%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baranovichi EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Smorgon EU Bookmakers 72%
+59% / +59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -79% / -79%
1.00/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.75
+11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -62%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
303 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 484 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baranovichi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Smorgon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
06.06.2020 Baranovichi Baranovichi 1-0 HT 1-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baranovichi
0-1
AWAY Smorgon
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Baranovichi vs Smorgon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smorgon edged past Baranovichi 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Smorgon as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Baranovichi had 40% of the ball to Smorgon's 60%, shots finished 5-19.

What was the final score of Baranovichi vs Smorgon?

Baranovichi 0-1 Smorgon in the Belarus - Cup on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baranovichi vs Smorgon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Smorgon win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Baranovichi 22%, draw 20%, Smorgon 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smorgon) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Smorgon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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