Gangneung City 2-1 Busan Transportation — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangneung City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
0.69/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.61
-59% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangneung City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Busan Transportation
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
31.03.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-3 HT 0-1 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
11.11.2023 Gangneung City Gangneung City 2-3 HT 0-2 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
16.06.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
29.10.2022 Gangneung City Gangneung City 3-1 HT 2-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
05.06.2022 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-1 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
27.08.2021 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-1 HT 0-1 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
POST-MATCH Gangneung City vs Busan Transportation
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangneung City edged past Busan Transportation 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gangneung City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gangneung City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gangneung City and 1.17 for Busan Transportation.

What was the final score of Gangneung City vs Busan Transportation?

Gangneung City 2-1 Busan Transportation in the South Kore - K3 League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangneung City vs Busan Transportation?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gangneung City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Gangneung City 53%, draw 22%, Busan Transportation 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gangneung City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gangneung City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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