Kaisar 2-1 Yelimay Semey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
52%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
34%
-7.7pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.5pp
52%
Away Win
38%
+14.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaisar EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 42%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.70/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.34
-42% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaisar
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Yelimay Semey
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.04.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 1-0 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
POST-MATCH Kaisar vs Yelimay Semey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaisar squeezed past Yelimay Semey 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Yelimay Semey at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Kaisar vs Yelimay Semey?

Kaisar 2-1 Yelimay Semey in the Kazakistan - Super League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaisar vs Yelimay Semey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kaisar 26%, draw 22%, Yelimay Semey 52%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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