Pahang 0-2 Negeri Sembilan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malaysia - Super League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-12.2pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.8pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pahang EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Negeri Sembilan EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.62
-2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.6 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pahang
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Negeri Sembilan
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.71 xG 1.09
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
374 Passes 233
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.06.2023 Pahang Pahang 4-3 HT 1-3 Negeri Sembilan Negeri Sembilan MALES
26.02.2023 Negeri Sembilan Negeri Sembilan 1-1 HT 1-0 Pahang Pahang MALES
15.10.2022 Pahang Pahang 2-0 HT 1-0 Negeri Sembilan Negeri Sembilan MALES
19.06.2018 Negeri Sembilan Negeri Sembilan 1-3 HT 0-1 Pahang Pahang MALES
10.03.2018 Pahang Pahang 4-0 HT 2-0 Negeri Sembilan Negeri Sembilan MALES
POST-MATCH Pahang vs Negeri Sembilan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Negeri Sembilan saw off Pahang 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pahang at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pahang had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Pahang and 1.00 for Negeri Sembilan.

What was the final score of Pahang vs Negeri Sembilan?

Pahang 0-2 Negeri Sembilan in the Malaysia - Super League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pahang vs Negeri Sembilan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pahang win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Pahang 53%, draw 25%, Negeri Sembilan 22%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pahang) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pahang) ✓ Under 2.5
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