Hollanda (K) 2-5 Fransa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship, 13 Jul 2025

Hollanda (K)
2-5 HT 2-1
Fransa (K)
📅13/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
European Women's Championship – 2025

Hollanda (K) vs Fransa (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.15
Over 2.5
44%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.92
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
9.59
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 27% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
6.71
1/2
8%
21.45
1/X
12%
14.9
X/1
7%
9.11
X/2
12%
4.51
X/X
12%
5.67
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
21%
2.28
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+6.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.8pp
41%
Away Win
53%
-11.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
43%
+13.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
57%
-13.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.3pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hollanda (K) v Fransa (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hollanda (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Fransa (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.99/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-41% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
256 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 82%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
9.0 Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Hollanda (K) vs Fransa (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hollanda (K)
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Fransa (K)
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.60 xG 4.41
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
320 Passes 402
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 37
18 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
23.07.2022 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) ABK
07.04.2017 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) HAZ
23.10.2015 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) HAZ
03.09.2009 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) ABK

Hollanda (K) 2-5 Fransa (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hollanda (K)
2-5
AWAY Fransa (K)
1.28 xG 3.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 5
265 Passes 240
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hollanda (K) vs Fransa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa (K) cruised past Hollanda (K) 5-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fransa (K) as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hollanda (K) had 52% of the ball to Fransa (K)'s 48%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 1.28 to 3.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fransa (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Hollanda (K) and 1.00 for Fransa (K).

What was the final score of Hollanda (K) vs Fransa (K)?

Hollanda (K) 2-5 Fransa (K) in the European Women's Championship on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hollanda (K) vs Fransa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fransa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hollanda (K) 29%, draw 30%, Fransa (K) 41%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fransa (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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