Uni Minsk 0-2 Smorgon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
47%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
18%
+12.9pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
47%
Away Win
61%
-14.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni Minsk EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Smorgon EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -79% / -79%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -57%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
200 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni Minsk
0-2
AWAY Smorgon
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Uni Minsk vs Smorgon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smorgon got the better of Uni Minsk 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Smorgon as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uni Minsk had 40% of the ball to Smorgon's 60%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Uni Minsk vs Smorgon?

Uni Minsk 0-2 Smorgon in the Belarus - Cup on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni Minsk vs Smorgon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Smorgon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Uni Minsk 31%, draw 22%, Smorgon 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smorgon) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Smorgon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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