Al Gharafa vs Shabab Al Ahli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Gharafa v Shabab Al Ahli — Team-Based Signals
Al Gharafa vs Shabab Al Ahli Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
8-2
HT 3-1
Al Gharafa
AŞMP
1-1
HT 1-0
Shabab Al Ahli
AŞMP
Al Gharafa 1-0 Shabab Al Ahli — Actual Match Statistics
Al Gharafa edged past Shabab Al Ahli 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Al Gharafa made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Al Gharafa had 29% of the ball to Shabab Al Ahli's 71%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.48 to 0.81.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shabab Al Ahli led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Gharafa and 4.50 for Shabab Al Ahli.
What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Shabab Al Ahli?
Al Gharafa 1-0 Shabab Al Ahli in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Shabab Al Ahli?
Before kick-off our model rated an Shabab Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 34%, draw 27%, Shabab Al Ahli 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli), Over 2.5 went the other way.