Millwall U21 1-1 Burnley U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.72
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.17
Over 2.5
68%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.33
No
42%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
39%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
54%
+4.3pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.5pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.8pp
32%
Under 2.5
28%
+3.8pp
68%
Over 2.5
72%
-3.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
71%
-13.2pp
42%
BTTS No
29%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall U21 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.72/2.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.02
+43% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Millwall U21 vs Burnley U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall U21 and Burnley U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Millwall U21 carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

What was the final score of Millwall U21 vs Burnley U21?

Millwall U21 1-1 Burnley U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall U21 vs Burnley U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Millwall U21 58%, draw 20%, Burnley U21 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Millwall U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millwall U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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