Regar-TadAZ 1-2 Ahal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
2%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Regar-TadAZ EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ahal EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
297 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Regar-TadAZ vs Ahal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ahal edged past Regar-TadAZ 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Regar-TadAZ at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Regar-TadAZ vs Ahal?

Regar-TadAZ 1-2 Ahal in the AFCŞL2 on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Regar-TadAZ vs Ahal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Regar-TadAZ win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Regar-TadAZ 46%, draw 24%, Ahal 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Regar-TadAZ) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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