1 de Enero vs Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
1 de Enero v Nacional — Team-Based Signals
1 de Enero 0-5 Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional ran out comfortable winners over 1 de Enero 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Nacional as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, 1 de Enero had 34% of the ball to Nacional's 66%, shots finished 2-26.
What was the final score of 1 de Enero vs Nacional?
1 de Enero 0-5 Nacional in the Paraguay - Cup on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for 1 de Enero vs Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split 1 de Enero 12%, draw 14%, Nacional 74%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.