Santa Fe vs River Plate Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Copa Sudamericana, 13 Aug 2026

Santa Fe
vs
River Plate
📅13/08/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Copa Sudamericana – 2026

Santa Fe vs River Plate Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Santa Fe v River Plate — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Santa Fe vs River Plate Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
0W-3D-2L
AWAY River Plate
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
0.60 xG 1.11
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
251 Passes 340
67% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.05.2021 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate LKU
04.05.2018 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate LKU
06.04.2018 River Plate River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe LKU
26.08.2016 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe RSA
19.08.2016 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate RSA
COMMENT Santa Fe vs River Plate
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, River Plate lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Santa Fe and 0.60 for River Plate.

When do Santa Fe and River Plate play?

Santa Fe play River Plate in the Copa Sudamericana on 13/08/2026, kick-off 03:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Santa Fe vs River Plate?

Our model's prediction for Santa Fe vs River Plate is a Santa Fe win at about 39% probability, priced 2.94 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Santa Fe 39%, draw 30%, River Plate 31%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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