Cesena vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cesena v Modena — Team-Based Signals
Cesena vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Cesena
İTC
1-2
HT 1-1
Modena
İTC
1-0
HT 0-0
Cesena
İTC
0-0
HT 0-0
Modena
İTC
1-0
HT 1-0
Modena
İTC
0-0
HT 0-0
Cesena
İTB
Cesena 2-2 Modena — Actual Match Statistics
Cesena and Modena shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Cesena at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Cesena had 60% of the ball to Modena's 40%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.55 to 2.18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cesena and 0.67 for Modena.
What was the final score of Cesena vs Modena?
Cesena 2-2 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cesena vs Modena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cesena 42%, draw 27%, Modena 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.