Barcelona (K) 3-1 Real Sociedad (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.11
Draw
33%
8.78
Away
33%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.0
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
84%
-51.0pp
33%
Draw
8%
+25.4pp
33%
Away Win
8%
+25.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
3.64/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/2.26
+124% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
61.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
33.6 Crosses 12.6
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Sociedad (K)
7.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
5.50 xG 0.25
72% Ball Possession 28%
37 Total Shots 6
16 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 0
581 Passes 176
89% Pass Accuracy 68%
72 Box Touches 6
37 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
10.03.2024 Real Sociedad (K) Real Sociedad (K) 1-7 HT 0-4 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona (K)
3-1
AWAY Real Sociedad (K)
3.90 xG 0.26
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
674 Passes 434
91% Pass Accuracy 88%
54 Box Touches 4
22 Crosses 2
POST-MATCH Barcelona (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) saw off Real Sociedad (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Barcelona (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Barcelona (K) had 60% of the ball to Real Sociedad (K)'s 40%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 3.90 to 0.26.

What was the final score of Barcelona (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)?

Barcelona (K) 3-1 Real Sociedad (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Barcelona (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Sociedad (K) 33%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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