Kapfenberger SV 0-2 Austria Lustenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2024

Kapfenberger SV
0-2 HT 0-1
Austria Lustenau
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Kapfenberger SV vs Austria Lustenau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.91
Over 2.5
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.46
6+ Goals
13%
13.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.59
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
9%
6.52
X/2
15%
4.85
X/X
10%
4.7
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
22%
3.04
2/X
5%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+2.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kapfenberger SV v Austria Lustenau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.28/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.30
-3% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
17.2 Crosses 23.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Kapfenberger SV vs Austria Lustenau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Austria Lustenau
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.04.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-2 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
15.10.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 6-0 HT 5-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
16.04.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-1 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
24.11.2020 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-2 HT 0-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
17.07.2020 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-6 HT 0-2 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
25.10.2019 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 3-2 HT 0-2 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs Austria Lustenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Lustenau got the better of Kapfenberger SV 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Austria Lustenau as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Lustenau led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kapfenberger SV and 3.33 for Austria Lustenau.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs Austria Lustenau?

Kapfenberger SV 0-2 Austria Lustenau in the Austria - 1st Division on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs Austria Lustenau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Lustenau win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 31%, draw 24%, Austria Lustenau 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Lustenau) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austria Lustenau) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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