Dender EH 0-2 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.01
6+ Goals
8%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 33% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
2.64
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
25%
4.29
X/2
11%
7.78
X/X
15%
4.3
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
9%
6.11
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.6pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 28%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -21%
2.57/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.70
+55% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
313 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
Crosses 14.0
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Standard Liege
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.11.2022 Dender EH Dender EH 0-1 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEK
17.01.2009 Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-2 HT 2-2 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
16.08.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 1-3 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
03.05.2008 Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-0 HT 2-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
15.12.2007 Dender EH Dender EH 0-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
0-2
AWAY Standard Liege
0.93 xG 1.83
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 0
543 Passes 223
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
38 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege saw off Dender EH 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dender EH at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Dender EH had 68% of the ball to Standard Liege's 32%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.93 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Standard Liege led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Dender EH and 2.00 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Standard Liege?

Dender EH 0-2 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dender EH win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 46%, draw 30%, Standard Liege 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dender EH) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dender EH) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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