Royal Pari 3-3 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+11.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-11.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Pari EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 27%
-13% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -14%
1.34/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.72
+0% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.6 Crosses 18.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Pari
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Guabira
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.68 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
261 Passes 315
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2023 Royal Pari Royal Pari 4-1 HT 3-1 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
12.03.2023 Guabira Guabira 3-2 HT 2-0 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
16.10.2022 Royal Pari Royal Pari 3-2 HT 2-1 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
07.05.2022 Royal Pari Royal Pari 1-3 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
21.03.2022 Guabira Guabira 0-3 HT 0-1 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
02.12.2021 Guabira Guabira 3-2 HT 1-2 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Pari
3-3
AWAY Guabira
0.94 xG 1.48
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 1
243 Passes 291
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Royal Pari vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Pari and Guabira shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Royal Pari at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Royal Pari had 48% of the ball to Guabira's 52%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.94 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Royal Pari and 2.00 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Royal Pari vs Guabira?

Royal Pari 3-3 Guabira in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Pari vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal Pari win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Royal Pari 46%, draw 29%, Guabira 24%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Royal Pari) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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