Roskilde 2-0 Hvidovre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 13 Sep 2024

Roskilde
2-0 HT 1-0
Hvidovre
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

Roskilde vs Hvidovre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.05
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.09
6+ Goals
8%
9.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 27% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.81
1/2
7%
21.85
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
11%
8.15
X/2
9%
4.27
X/X
11%
5.52
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
31%
2.38
2/X
5%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.0pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-13.3pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Roskilde v Hvidovre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 56%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.01/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.27
-13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.6
15.0 Crosses 23.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Roskilde vs Hvidovre Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Hvidovre
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
25.07.2020 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-0 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
10.11.2019 Roskilde Roskilde 0-2 HT 0-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
25.08.2019 Hvidovre Hvidovre 3-2 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1

Roskilde 2-0 Hvidovre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
2-0
AWAY Hvidovre
1.77 xG 0.58
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
275 Passes 403
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 17
8 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Hvidovre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roskilde got the better of Hvidovre 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hvidovre at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Roskilde had 43% of the ball to Hvidovre's 57%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.77 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hvidovre led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Roskilde and 1.67 for Hvidovre.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Hvidovre?

Roskilde 2-0 Hvidovre in the Denmark 1st Division on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Hvidovre?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hvidovre win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 28%, draw 23%, Hvidovre 48%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hvidovre) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hvidovre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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