Fremad Amager 3-0 Akademisk BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 28% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.33/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.17
+1% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fremad Amager
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Akademisk BK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-0 HT 0-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
16.09.2023 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-0 HT 2-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fremad Amager
3-0
AWAY Akademisk BK
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fremad Amager vs Akademisk BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremad Amager cruised past Akademisk BK 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Fremad Amager made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fremad Amager had 51% of the ball to Akademisk BK's 49%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fremad Amager and 1.00 for Akademisk BK.

What was the final score of Fremad Amager vs Akademisk BK?

Fremad Amager 3-0 Akademisk BK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fremad Amager vs Akademisk BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fremad Amager win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fremad Amager 38%, draw 25%, Akademisk BK 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fremad Amager) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fremad Amager) ✗ BTTS Yes
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