Aalborg 2-1 Lyngby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 13 Sep 2024

Aalborg
2-1 HT 1-0
Lyngby
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2024/2025

Aalborg vs Lyngby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 26% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.94
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
11%
4.62
X/2
13%
6.42
X/X
9%
4.97
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
14%
4.64
2/X
9%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aalborg v Lyngby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalborg EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyngby EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.48/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.59
+5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
20.3 Crosses 17.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Aalborg vs Lyngby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalborg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lyngby
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.90 xG 1.13
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 Passes 279
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.05.2023 Lyngby Lyngby 2-1 HT 1-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
30.04.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
14.10.2022 Lyngby Lyngby 0-2 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
11.09.2022 Aalborg Aalborg 1-1 HT 0-1 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
21.09.2021 Lyngby Lyngby 0-4 HT 0-2 Aalborg Aalborg DAK
30.04.2021 Aalborg Aalborg 4-0 HT 2-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN

Aalborg 2-1 Lyngby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalborg
2-1
AWAY Lyngby
1.50 xG 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
349 Passes 389
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aalborg vs Lyngby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalborg nicked a narrow win over Lyngby 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aalborg as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Aalborg had 48% of the ball to Lyngby's 52%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.50 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalborg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Aalborg and 0.50 for Lyngby.

What was the final score of Aalborg vs Lyngby?

Aalborg 2-1 Lyngby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalborg vs Lyngby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 42%, draw 24%, Lyngby 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalborg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aalborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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