Malut United 2-1 Semen Padang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 13 Sep 2024

Malut United
2-1 HT 1-0
Semen Padang
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2024/2025

Malut United vs Semen Padang Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.2pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malut United v Semen Padang — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malut United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Semen Padang EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
265 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Malut United vs Semen Padang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malut United edged past Semen Padang 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Malut United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Malut United vs Semen Padang?

Malut United 2-1 Semen Padang in the Indonesia League 1 on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malut United vs Semen Padang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malut United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Malut United 45%, draw 26%, Semen Padang 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malut United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malut United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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