Portadown FC 2-1 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.29
6+ Goals
11%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.24
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
12%
6.21
X/2
14%
4.98
X/X
10%
4.98
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
20%
3.13
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.49/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.50
+8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.04.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-2 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
24.02.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
02.01.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
04.10.2022 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-1 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KILK
23.09.2022 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
19.04.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC edged past Dungannon Swifts 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dungannon Swifts at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Portadown FC and 1.33 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Portadown FC 2-1 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 35%, draw 24%, Dungannon Swifts 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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