Khaitan 1-1 Al Yarmouk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.97
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.93
6+ Goals
10%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 29% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-2.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khaitan EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Yarmouk EU Bookmakers 45%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.40/2.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-4% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khaitan
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Yarmouk
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.03.2023 Khaitan Khaitan 4-1 HT 4-1 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUVFK
01.04.2022 Khaitan Khaitan 3-3 HT 2-0 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUVEK
17.12.2020 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk 2-4 HT 1-1 Khaitan Khaitan KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khaitan
1-1
AWAY Al Yarmouk
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Khaitan vs Al Yarmouk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khaitan and Al Yarmouk shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Al Yarmouk at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Khaitan had 55% of the ball to Al Yarmouk's 45%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Khaitan had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Khaitan and 2.00 for Al Yarmouk.

What was the final score of Khaitan vs Al Yarmouk?

Khaitan 1-1 Al Yarmouk in the Kuwait - Premier League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khaitan vs Al Yarmouk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Yarmouk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Khaitan 28%, draw 31%, Al Yarmouk 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Yarmouk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Yarmouk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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