Wisla Krakow 0-1 Warta Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
29%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-14.2pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.9pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 14%
-14% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.99/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +86%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Krakow
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Warta Poznan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.18 xG 1.06
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
360 Passes 222
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2022 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 0-1 HT 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
06.12.2021 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-1 HT 0-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
17.04.2021 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 0-1 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
21.11.2020 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 2-1 HT 0-1 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Krakow
0-1
AWAY Warta Poznan
68% Ball Possession 32%
26 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wisla Krakow vs Warta Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warta Poznan edged past Wisla Krakow 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Wisla Krakow carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Wisla Krakow had 68% of the ball to Warta Poznan's 32%, shots finished 26-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Warta Poznan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Wisla Krakow and 1.25 for Warta Poznan.

What was the final score of Wisla Krakow vs Warta Poznan?

Wisla Krakow 0-1 Warta Poznan in the Poland - 1st Division on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Krakow vs Warta Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Wisla Krakow 57%, draw 24%, Warta Poznan 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wisla Krakow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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