Boluspor 1-2 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2024

Boluspor
1-2 HT 0-1
Pendikspor
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Boluspor vs Pendikspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.15
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 33% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.27
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
8%
14.65
X/1
9%
6.94
X/2
19%
4.34
X/X
14%
4.77
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.76
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boluspor v Pendikspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 50%
-8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.19/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.97
-18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 80%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
18.5 Crosses 11.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Boluspor vs Pendikspor Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boluspor
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Pendikspor
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
0.71 xG 2.30
31% Ball Possession 69%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 6
172 Passes 501
67% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.02.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 1-3 HT 1-1 Pendikspor Pendikspor T1L
04.09.2022 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
18.10.2006 Boluspor Boluspor 2-2 HT 0-2 Pendikspor Pendikspor T2-3
20.08.2006 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-3 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T2-3
20.05.2006 Boluspor Boluspor 0-5 HT 0-3 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2P

Boluspor 1-2 Pendikspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
1-2
AWAY Pendikspor
0.83 xG 2.32
50% Ball Possession 50%
3 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
382 Passes 379
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
4 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pendikspor squeezed past Boluspor 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pendikspor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boluspor had 50% of the ball to Pendikspor's 50%, shots finished 3-15, expected goals 0.83 to 2.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pendikspor's control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Boluspor and 2.20 for Pendikspor.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs Pendikspor?

Boluspor 1-2 Pendikspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pendikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 26%, draw 29%, Pendikspor 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pendikspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pendikspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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