Kampala City 1-0 URA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 13 Sep 2024

Kampala City
1-0 HT 1-0
URA
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2024/2025

Kampala City vs URA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.6pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kampala City v URA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kampala City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY URA EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.86/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.40
+1% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Kampala City vs URA Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kampala City
1W-0D-1L
AWAY URA
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
The Meetings
09.02.2022 Kampala City Kampala City 1-0 HT 1-0 URA URA UGA
08.01.2022 URA URA 1-0 HT 1-0 Kampala City Kampala City UGA

Kampala City 1-0 URA — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kampala City
1-0
AWAY URA
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kampala City vs URA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kampala City squeezed past URA 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kampala City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kampala City had 49% of the ball to URA's 51%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kampala City and 0.50 for URA.

What was the final score of Kampala City vs URA?

Kampala City 1-0 URA in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kampala City vs URA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 47%, draw 27%, URA 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kampala City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kampala City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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