Fulham vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Fulham v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals
Fulham vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Fulham 1-0 Leeds United — Actual Match Statistics
Fulham edged past Leeds United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fulham as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.
By the numbers, possession split 54% to 46% in Fulham's favour, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.92 to 0.79.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fulham had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Fulham against 1.50 for Leeds United.
Fulham vs Leeds United Result & Final Score
Fulham 1 - 0 Leeds United in the England - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Fulham vs Leeds United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fulham 48%, draw 28%, Leeds United 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.