Dnepr Mogilev 3-1 FC Volna Pinsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-11.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
22%
+11.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.6pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 25%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.40/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.07
-31% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +71%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
2W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2021 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
01.08.2021 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 0-3 HT 0-1 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR1
10.05.2021 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
POST-MATCH Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Volna Pinsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Mogilev beat FC Volna Pinsk 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dnepr Mogilev as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dnepr Mogilev had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Dnepr Mogilev and 0.67 for FC Volna Pinsk.

What was the final score of Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Dnepr Mogilev 3-1 FC Volna Pinsk in the Belarus - 1st Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dnepr Mogilev win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Mogilev 43%, draw 24%, FC Volna Pinsk 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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