Vag 4-1 Haugesund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
15%
4.19
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.31
No
39%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.8pp
15%
Draw
20%
-4.8pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
72%
-10.8pp
39%
BTTS No
28%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vag EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund II EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
3.97/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/3.09
+61% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +139% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
365 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Vag vs Haugesund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vag ran out comfortable winners over Haugesund II 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vag as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Vag vs Haugesund II?

Vag 4-1 Haugesund II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vag vs Haugesund II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vag win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Vag 53%, draw 15%, Haugesund II 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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