Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal Tula v Spartak Kostroma — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal Tula 1-2 Spartak Kostroma — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Kostroma nicked a narrow win over Arsenal Tula 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Arsenal Tula at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Arsenal Tula had 65% of the ball to Spartak Kostroma's 35%, shots finished 8-8.
What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma?
Arsenal Tula 1-2 Spartak Kostroma in the Russia - FNL on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 53%, draw 26%, Spartak Kostroma 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.