Nazilli Belediyespor 1-1 Denizli İY Güreller — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
27%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.9pp
27%
Away Win
35%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Denizli İY Güreller EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Nazilli Belediyespor vs Denizli İY Güreller
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nazilli Belediyespor and Denizli İY Güreller shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nazilli Belediyespor at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

What was the final score of Nazilli Belediyespor vs Denizli İY Güreller?

Nazilli Belediyespor 1-1 Denizli İY Güreller in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nazilli Belediyespor vs Denizli İY Güreller?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nazilli Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nazilli Belediyespor 47%, draw 26%, Denizli İY Güreller 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nazilli Belediyespor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nazilli Belediyespor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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