Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
7.18
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
71%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
47%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
11%
+1.2pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.5pp
71%
Away Win
70%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metalist 1925 Kharkiv EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 75%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -14%
0.93/2.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/0.66
+25% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +16%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
226 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
29.07.2023 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-2 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
05.03.2023 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0-7 HT 0-4 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
23.08.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
13.08.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1-1
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv and Shakhtar Donetsk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Shakhtar Donetsk carried 71% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv had 36% of the ball to Shakhtar Donetsk's 64%, shots finished 9-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv and 2.60 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

What was the final score of Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 12%, draw 17%, Shakhtar Donetsk 71%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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