Charlotte Independence vs Naples Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlotte Independence v Naples — Team-Based Signals
Charlotte Independence 0-1 Naples — Actual Match Statistics
Naples edged past Charlotte Independence 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Charlotte Independence at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Charlotte Independence had 61% of the ball to Naples's 39%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.98 to 2.04.
What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
Charlotte Independence 0-1 Naples in the USA - USL League 1 on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 44%, draw 19%, Naples 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.