Aguila 3-1 INCA-Aruba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 13 Sep 2026

Aguila
3 - 1 HT 1 - 0
INCA-Aruba
📅13/09/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
75%
1.34
Draw
16%
4.67
Away
9%
6.93
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.14
Over
59%
1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.94
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
45%
4-5
27%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet. This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Aguila The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY INCA-Aruba The Market 14%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
2.07 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.54
0.86 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.21
Strong Attack Strength Bad
Bad Defense Strength Bad
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
383 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards
REVIEW Aguila vs INCA-Aruba
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Aguila saw off INCA-Aruba 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (59%) came home.

Aguila vs INCA-Aruba Result & Final Score

Aguila 3 - 1 INCA-Aruba in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 13/09/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aguila vs INCA-Aruba Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Aguila 75%, draw 16%, INCA-Aruba 9%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ELSAL More El Salvador - Primera Liga
13 Sep 2026
00:00 Atlético Balboa vs Platense (El Salvador) Analysis →
04:00 FAS vs Alianza Analysis →