Mosjöen 3-2 Lilleström II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
74%
1.24
No
26%
3.59
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
25%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
13%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.3pp
43%
Away Win
51%
-8.0pp
74%
BTTS Yes
76%
-2.8pp
26%
BTTS No
24%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mosjöen EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -64% / -64%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -46%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
345 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mosjöen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lilleström II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2024 Lilleström II Lilleström II 6-0 HT 4-0 Mosjöen Mosjöen NOR4
POST-MATCH Mosjöen vs Lilleström II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosjöen squeezed past Lilleström II 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lilleström II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (74%) came in.

What was the final score of Mosjöen vs Lilleström II?

Mosjöen 3-2 Lilleström II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mosjöen vs Lilleström II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lilleström II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mosjöen 29%, draw 28%, Lilleström II 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lilleström II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lilleström II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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