Atletico CP 2-1 Lusitania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 13 Oct 2024

Atletico CP
2-1
Lusitania
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Atletico CP vs Lusitania Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
30%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico CP v Lusitania — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.13/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.00
-24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.7

Atletico CP 2-1 Lusitania — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
2-1
AWAY Lusitania
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Lusitania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP edged past Lusitania 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico CP as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Atletico CP had 38% of the ball to Lusitania's 62%, shots finished 4-14.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Lusitania?

Atletico CP 2-1 Lusitania in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Lusitania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 47%, draw 25%, Lusitania 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico CP) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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