Arnavutköy Belediye 1-1 Van Spor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
27%
+11.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
37%
Away Win
46%
-8.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +150%
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
204 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye
1-1
AWAY Van Spor FK
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Arnavutköy Belediye vs Van Spor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutköy Belediye and Van Spor FK shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Arnavutköy Belediye had 35% of the ball to Van Spor FK's 65%, shots finished 10-16.

What was the final score of Arnavutköy Belediye vs Van Spor FK?

Arnavutköy Belediye 1-1 Van Spor FK in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arnavutköy Belediye vs Van Spor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arnavutköy Belediye win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Arnavutköy Belediye 38%, draw 25%, Van Spor FK 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye) ✓ Under 2.5
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