Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 13 Oct 2025

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Parceiro Nagano (K)
📅13/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2025/2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win — 65% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
67%
-1.7pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.3pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.3pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) v Parceiro Nagano (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.49/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.77
-13% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
249 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 65%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.03.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
23.11.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
03.05.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
1-0
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) edged past Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) had 57% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano (K)'s 43%, shots finished 18-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) and 0.33 for Parceiro Nagano (K).

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 65%, draw 18%, Parceiro Nagano (K) 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K))
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