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Celtic (K) vs Chelsea (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celtic (K) v Chelsea (K) — Team-Based Signals
Celtic (K) 1-2 Chelsea (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea (K) nicked a narrow win over Celtic (K) 2-1 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Celtic (K) had 28% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 72%, shots finished 3-26, expected goals 0.39 to 2.94 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chelsea (K)'s control.
What was the final score of Celtic (K) vs Chelsea (K)?
Celtic (K) 1-2 Chelsea (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 13/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celtic (K) vs Chelsea (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Celtic (K) 18%, draw 17%, Chelsea (K) 65%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.