Greuther Fürth II 1-1 Ansbach 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Nov 2024

📅13/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.9pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansbach 09 EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.71/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.93
-6% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth II
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Ansbach 09
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
7 Corners 5
04.11.2023 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 3-4 HT 1-0 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
28.07.2023 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 2-2 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
19.11.2022 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 3-1 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
30.07.2022 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 2-1 HT 1-1 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth II vs Ansbach 09
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth II and Ansbach 09 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Greuther Fürth II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ansbach 09 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Greuther Fürth II and 2.50 for Ansbach 09.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth II vs Ansbach 09?

Greuther Fürth II 1-1 Ansbach 09 in the Germany - Regional League on 13/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth II vs Ansbach 09?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth II 43%, draw 23%, Ansbach 09 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greuther Fürth II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greuther Fürth II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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