13/11/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
İtalya U19 vs Karadağ U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
BTTS No
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
76%
25%
Draw
15%
16%
Away Win
9%
48%
Under 2.5
35%
52%
Over 2.5
65%
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
50%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
İtalya U19 v Karadağ U19 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
İtalya U19
EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY
Karadağ U19
EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% /
-1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+8% /
+8%
2.01/0.67
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.33/2.23
+16%
/
-15%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+12%
/
+47%
59%
Ball Possession
41%
17
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
3
430 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
282 · 77%
28.6
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
19.4
Crosses
5.0
2.5
Yellow Cards
3.7
POST-MATCH
İtalya U19 vs Karadağ U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
İtalya U19 cruised past Karadağ U19 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İtalya U19 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of İtalya U19 vs Karadağ U19?
İtalya U19 3-0 Karadağ U19 in the European U19 on 13/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for İtalya U19 vs Karadağ U19?
Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split İtalya U19 58%, draw 25%, Karadağ U19 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya U19), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (İtalya U19)
✓ Over 2.5
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