Almeria 1-0 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.51
6+ Goals
13%
14.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.06
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.25
X/1
14%
3.76
X/2
9%
10.75
X/X
12%
5.21
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
12%
8.81
2/X
6%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
2.10/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.36
+49% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 70%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
15.5 Crosses 16.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mirandes
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.86 xG 1.47
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 Passes 341
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.02.2022 Almeria Almeria 2-1 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
24.10.2021 Mirandes Mirandes 1-4 HT 0-3 Almeria Almeria İS2
25.04.2021 Mirandes Mirandes 1-1 HT 1-1 Almeria Almeria İS2
14.11.2020 Almeria Almeria 2-1 HT 2-1 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
28.06.2020 Mirandes Mirandes 2-2 HT 1-2 Almeria Almeria İS2
07.12.2019 Almeria Almeria 3-1 HT 0-1 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria
1-0
AWAY Mirandes
0.86 xG 0.61
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
238 Passes 353
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 19
6 Crosses 27
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Almeria vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria edged past Mirandes 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Almeria as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Almeria had 41% of the ball to Mirandes's 59%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.86 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Almeria and 1.17 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of Almeria vs Mirandes?

Almeria 1-0 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Almeria 49%, draw 25%, Mirandes 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almeria) ✓ BTTS No
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