Dynamo Dresden 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.07
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.93
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.55
X/1
22%
3.8
X/2
7%
11.6
X/X
10%
6.05
2/1
7%
22.1
2/2
9%
8.89
2/X
6%
17.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
1.96/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.83
+7% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
276 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
30.1 Crosses 19.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.01.2024 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 0-2 HT 0-1 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
22.08.2023 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-1 HT 2-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
22.04.2023 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-1 HT 1-1 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
29.10.2022 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 2-1 HT 2-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
26.01.2021 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-0 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
27.09.2020 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-1 HT 0-1 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
2-1
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
320 Passes 221
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Waldhof Mannheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden squeezed past Waldhof Mannheim 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dynamo Dresden as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dynamo Dresden had 57% of the ball to Waldhof Mannheim's 43%, shots finished 17-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 1.00 for Waldhof Mannheim.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Dynamo Dresden 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim in the Germany - 3rd Division on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 56%, draw 22%, Waldhof Mannheim 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Dresden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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