Al Wasl Dubai 2-2 Shabab Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - Super Cup, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
21%
2.62
6+ Goals
12%
6.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
33%
-6.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+3.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.9pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wasl Dubai EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
Crosses 14.2
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.80 xG 1.73
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
284 Passes 338
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.12.2023 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 3-0 HT 2-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK
20.10.2023 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAELK
02.03.2021 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAELK
09.02.2021 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 0-2 HT 0-1 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK
06.12.2019 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 5-1 HT 1-1 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAELK
13.11.2015 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
2-2
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli
1.26 xG 0.76
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
292 Passes 222
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al Wasl Dubai vs Shabab Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wasl Dubai and Shabab Al Ahli shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Shabab Al Ahli at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Wasl Dubai had 56% of the ball to Shabab Al Ahli's 44%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.26 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shabab Al Ahli led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Wasl Dubai and 2.00 for Shabab Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Wasl Dubai vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Al Wasl Dubai 2-2 Shabab Al Ahli in the UAE - Super Cup on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wasl Dubai vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shabab Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Wasl Dubai 27%, draw 28%, Shabab Al Ahli 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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